NCAAB

Texas Tech vs Kansas State

League: NCAAB | Game Time: 2:30 PM ET • 1:30 PM CT • 12:30 PM MT • 11:30 AM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-21 08:52 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Texas Tech Red Raiders / -13.5 / -110 / 55% / Even public bets (50/50) but money 55% on home signals sharp support alongside sim cover rate convergence
💰 Best Bet #2 Under / 159.5 / -110 / 52% / Heavy public (59%) and money (63%) on under aligns with defensive matchup expectations and low recent scoring trends
💰 Best Bet #3 Texas Tech Red Raiders / Moneyline / -1450 / 92% / Overwhelming public (88%) and money (93%) alignment on dominant home favorite

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Texas Tech Red Raiders | 92% |
| Win % for Kansas St Wildcats | 8% |
| Spread Cover % for Texas Tech Red Raiders | 55% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 49% / Under: 51% |
| Average Total Points | 159.8 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-4, 31] |

Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Kansas St Wildcats

💸 Public Bets
Texas Tech 50% / Kansas St 50%

💰 Money Distribution
Texas Tech 55% / Kansas St 45%

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
No significant movement; stable at -13.5

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+3% on Texas Tech -13.5; sim probabilities exceed implied odds (52.4% implied vs 55% projected)

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment and sharp money align heavily on Texas Tech across ML and lean under total, with spread bets even but money favoring home—optimal to follow without contrarian fade. No key injuries reported, supporting favorite dominance in sims. Overall game outlook moderate-scoring, favoring under based on public convergence and total distribution.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Texas Tech — sim and market math confirm highest probability.

Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.

Highlights unavailable.