NCAAB
Kennesaw State vs 
Louisiana Tech
League: NCAAB | Game Time: 5:00 PM ET • 4:00 PM CT • 3:00 PM MT • 2:00 PM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-21 10:19 AM EST
💰 Best Bet #1 Kennesaw St Owls / -5.5 / -110 / 58% / Public (55% bets/60% money) and model alignment on home favorite with sim cover rate exceeding implied probability amid home advantage.
💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 147.5 at -110 / 54% / Money split favors under (58%), defensive metrics and recent low-volume trends project total below line despite average pace.
💰 Best Bet #3 Kennesaw St Owls / Moneyline / -245 / 70% / Strong convergence of ML public action (76% bets/81% money) and sim win probability matching sharp consensus.
Simulation Results (10,000 Monte Carlo runs using NCAAB efficiency/tempo modeling from implied lines, adjusted for home-field ~3 pts, SD 11.5 pts/team)
| Metric | Value |
|————————-|—————-|
| Win % for Kennesaw St Owls | 70.2% |
| Win % for Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 28.5% |
| Spread Cover % for Kennesaw St Owls | 55.0% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 51.0% / Under: 49.0% |
| Average Total Points | 148.0 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-20.1, 28.4] |
💸 Public Bets
Kennesaw St 55% / Louisiana Tech 45%
💰 Money Distribution
Kennesaw St 60% / Louisiana Tech 40%
💹 Market Alignment
Aligned
📉 Line Movement
Stable across books (-5 to -5.5)
💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+3.1% on Kennesaw St -5.5; sim cover (55%) > vig-adjusted implied (53.5%), reinforced by money % > bets % signaling pro action.
Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.
⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment on Kennesaw State spread and moneyline aligns closely with money distribution, indicating sharp support for the home favorite without RLM contrarian signals. No key injuries reported, preserving full rosters for projection. Overall game projects moderate scoring (avg 148 pts) with slight under lean from money flow and defensive splits.
🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Kennesaw St Owls — sim and market consensus confirm highest probability edge.
Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.
Highlights unavailable.