NCAAB
UC Riverside vs 
UC Davis
League: NCAAB | Game Time: 5:00 PM ET • 4:00 PM CT • 3:00 PM MT • 2:00 PM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-21 10:27 AM EST
💰 Best Bet #1 UC Davis Aggies / Spread / -2.5 at -115 / 58% / UC Davis shows edge as favorite with line stability and money slightly countering even public split on dog
💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 148.5 at -110 / 55% / Recent UC Riverside game low-scoring (62 points), defensive metrics suggest below line total
💰 Best Bet #3 UC Davis Aggies / Moneyline / -145 / 62% / Consensus line and public ML lean (63%) align with favoritism
Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for UC Riverside Highlanders | 39% |
| Win % for UC Davis Aggies | 61% |
| Spread Cover % for UC Davis Aggies (-2.5) | 56% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 47% / Under: 53% |
| Average Total Points | 146 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-10, 6] |
🏀 Matchup: UC Riverside Highlanders vs UC Davis Aggies on 2026-02-21
💸 Public Bets
[UC Riverside 51% / UC Davis 49%]
💰 Money Distribution
[UC Riverside 56% / UC Davis 44%]
💹 Market Alignment
Aligned
📉 Line Movement
Stable around -2.5 to -3.5, no major shifts despite slight public lean to dog
💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3.5% on UC Davis -2.5; implied prob undervalues Davis win/cover based on favoritism and recent home defensive woes for Riverside]
Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure
⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public bets slightly favor the home dog UC Riverside on spread while money follows suit at 56%, but ML public/money heavily on UC Davis (63%/68%), creating divergence; math favors following Davis as line holds value absent RLM signals. Overall game projects low-scoring with UC Riverside’s recent 62-point output and total trends under. No key injuries reported in provided data.
🔮 Recommended Play
Fade the public on UC Riverside — UC Davis offers positive EV across spread and ML.
Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.
Highlights unavailable.