NCAAB
Bethune-Cookman vs 
Alabama A&M
League: NCAAB | Game Time: 5:30 PM ET • 4:30 PM CT • 3:30 PM MT • 2:30 PM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-21 10:44 AM EST
💰 Best Bet #1 Alabama A&M / +6.5 / +6.5 at -108 / 58% / Simulation shows 50.2% cover probability exceeding -110 implied (52.4%), public bets even at 50/50 supports value as underdog
💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 143.5 at -108 / 55% / Avg sim total 143.4 with 49.9% under prob, public money 57% under aligns with low-scoring SWAC trends
💰 Best Bet #3 Alabama A&M / Moneyline / +235 / 38% / Model 34.2% win prob > implied 29.9%, contrarian to 82% public bets on home
Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Bethune-Cookman Wildcats | 65.8% |
| Win % for Alabama A&M Bulldogs | 34.2% |
| Spread Cover % for Bethune-Cookman Wildcats | 49.8% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 50.1% / Under: 49.9% |
| Average Total Points | 143.4 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-24.4, 37.1] |
💸 Public Bets
Bethune-Cookman 50% / Alabama A&M 50%
💰 Money Distribution
Bethune-Cookman 55% / Alabama A&M 45%
💹 Market Alignment
Divergent
📉 Line Movement
No significant movement; stable at -6.5
💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+2.5% on Alabama A&M +6.5 (sim cover > implied prob); +1.8% Under 143.5 (avg total below line, public money convergence)
Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure
⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public bets even on spread but money slightly favors home favorite while model simulation indicates near 50/50 cover for underdog, creating fade opportunity aligned with reverse money flow. No key injuries reported, recent form unavailable, but SWAC matchups trend low-scoring with home edge overstated at -290 ML. Overall game projects modest total near line, favoring Under based on sim avg and public lean.
🔮 Recommended Play
Fade the public on Alabama A&M +6.5 — model edge confirmed by sim and market divergence.
Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.
Highlights unavailable.