NCAAB

UC Irvine vs UC San Diego

League: NCAAB | Game Time: 10:00 PM ET • 9:00 PM CT • 8:00 PM MT • 7:00 PM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-21 11:49 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 UC Irvine / -4.5 / -110 / 52% / Home advantage and recent close wins support covering narrow spread despite public lean to dog

💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 142.5 at -110 / 54% / Recent UCI games trended moderate totals, sim avg 141.9 aligns with under edge

💰 Best Bet #3 UC Irvine / Moneyline / -225 / 62% / Strong home form and sim win prob 61% offers value vs implied

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for UC Irvine Anteaters | 60.7% |
| Win % for UC San Diego Tritons | 39.3% |
| Spread Cover % for UC Irvine Anteaters | 49.0% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48.4% / Under: 51.6% |
| Average Total Points | 141.9 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-26.3, 33.5] |

🏀 Matchup: UC Irvine Anteaters vs UC San Diego Tritons

💸 Public Bets
[48% / 52%]

💰 Money Distribution
[43% / 57%]

💹 Market Alignment
Divergent

📉 Line Movement
Stable at -4.5 across books

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+2% on Under 142.5; sim under prob exceeds implied odds, supported by defensive trends in UCI recent games

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public betting splits even on spread but money 57% on UCSD +4.5 signals sharp interest in dog amid stable line; however, UCI home form in close wins aligns with narrow cover potential. Math favors slight under given sim avg total below line and public under lean. Overall low-scoring outlook from moderate pace matchup.

🔮 Recommended Play
Fade the public on UC Irvine — sim and money convergence support value against heavy ML public favoritism.

Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.

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