San Francisco vs Santa Clara

League: NCAAB | Game Time: 10:00 PM ET • 9:00 PM CT • 8:00 PM MT • 7:00 PM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-21 11:50 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Santa Clara Broncos / Spread / -7.5 at -110 / 58% / Santa Clara’s stronger recent scoring (92.5 PPG away) vs San Francisco’s average defense aligns with sim cover rate and slight money lean despite even public bets.

💰 Best Bet #2 Over / Total / 157.5 at -110 / 55% / Combined recent averages exceed line (SF ~151 totals, SC ~167), pace supports higher output with public/money on Under creating value.

💰 Best Bet #3 Santa Clara Broncos / Moneyline / -320 / 62% / Model win probability exceeds implied odds, backed by dominant recent wins and public consensus.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for San Francisco Dons | 38% |
| Win % for Santa Clara Broncos | 62% |
| Spread Cover % for San Francisco Dons (+7.5) | 42% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 55% / Under: 45% |
| Average Total Points | 159.0 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin (Santa Clara – San Francisco) | [-15.0, 23.0] |

🏀 San Francisco Dons vs Santa Clara Broncos

💸 Public Bets
San Francisco 49% / Santa Clara 51%

💰 Money Distribution
San Francisco 44% / Santa Clara 56%

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Stable per available data

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+4% on Santa Clara -7.5 (model 58% vs implied 52%); +3% Over 157.5 (recent totals and sim support)

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public and money slightly favor Santa Clara on spread with alignment indicating consensus value on the favorite despite heavy ML public action on Broncos. Simulations confirm edge on SC spread cover and Over based on offensive trends from recent games (SC high-scoring away). Game projects moderately high-scoring with Santa Clara pulling away late.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Santa Clara — model and market convergence supports favorite with positive EV on spread.

Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.

Highlights unavailable.