Georgia State vs Coastal Carolina

League: NCAAB | Game Time: 7:30 PM ET • 6:30 PM CT • 5:30 PM MT • 4:30 PM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-24 08:08 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Georgia St Panthers / +1.5 / -118 / 55% / Heavy money (58%) on home dog aligns with sim cover probability and close public split
💰 Best Bet #2 Under / 140.5 / -110 / 54% / Money (59%) and public lean under amid moderate pace expectations and defensive metrics convergence
💰 Best Bet #3 Coastal Carolina Chanticleers / Moneyline / -118 / 53% / Road favorite backed by ML money percentage despite balanced sim win outlook

Georgia St Panthers vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers

💸 Public Bets
Georgia St Panthers 53% / Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 47%

💰 Money Distribution
Georgia St Panthers 58% / Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 42%

💹 Market Alignment
Divergent

📉 Line Movement
Stable near pick’em with slight favoritism to away team per tier1 sources

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+2.8% on Georgia St +1.5 (money disparity signals value vs implied 54% cover; sim projects 52% with positive convergence)

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Georgia St Panthers | 48% |
| Win % for Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 50% |
| Spread Cover % for Georgia St Panthers (+1.5) | 52% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 49% / Under: 51% |
| Average Total Points | 140 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-22, 24] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player Prop #1: Jordan Session (Georgia St Panthers) / Over 13.5 Points / -110 / 72% / Averages 14.2 PPG in home games, favorable matchup vs Coastal’s perimeter D allowing 15+ to guards recently
Player Prop #2: Kylan Blackmon (Coastal Carolina Chanticleers) / Over 11.5 Points / -112 / 70% / Leads team at 12.8 PPG, high usage (28%) thrives in road undersized matchups
Player Prop #3: Dwon Omenai (Georgia St Panthers) / Over 7.5 Rebounds / -108 / 68% / Grabs 8.1 RPG at home, exploits Coastal’s weak offensive rebounding (28% rate)

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public and money show divergence with spread money heavily on Georgia St +1.5 while ML money favors Coastal, but sim and EV point to following money on home dog without clear sharp resistance. Low-scoring outlook prevails as both teams trend under in recent moderate-tempo games (avg total 138). No major injuries alter key rotations.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Georgia St Panthers — mathematical probability highest on +1.5 cover.

Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.

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