NCAAB

IPFW vs Wright State

League: NCAAB | Game Time: 7:00 PM ET • 6:00 PM CT • 5:00 PM MT • 4:00 PM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-25 09:00 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Fort Wayne Mastodons / +2.5 at -108 / 62% / Sharp money 57% on home dog despite even public split, aligns with IPFW’s explosive recent offense vs Wright State’s defensive struggles

💰 Best Bet #2 Over / 151.5 at -107 / 59% / IPFW averaging 109 PPG scored recently, Wright State allowing 83 PPG, pushing avg total well above line despite public Under lean

💰 Best Bet #3 Wright St Raiders / -158 / 54% / Market consensus with 63% public/68% money bets, offsetting recent poor form

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Fort Wayne Mastodons | 68% |
| Win % for Wright St Raiders | 32% |
| Spread Cover % for Fort Wayne Mastodons (+2.5) | 75% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 61% / Under: 39% |
| Average Total Points | 157 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-19, 35] |

🏀 Fort Wayne Mastodons vs Wright St Raiders

💸 Public Bets
[52% Fort Wayne / 48% Wright St] (spread)

💰 Money Distribution
[57% Fort Wayne / 43% Wright St] (spread)

💹 Market Alignment
Divergent (public slight home, heavy money on home dog); Aligned on away ML

📉 Line Movement
Lines stable across sources; no significant RLM observed

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+3.2% on Fort Wayne +2.5; simulation shows 75% cover rate vs implied 52.4%, supported by recent scoring disparities

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public betting is split on the spread but money strongly favors the home dog Fort Wayne, signaling sharp resistance to the favorite amid Wright State’s 0-3 recent skid and leaky defense. IPFW’s blowout wins highlight offensive firepower likely to exploit matchup weaknesses, while simulation projects high totals. Overall game outlook leans high-scoring given IPFW’s pace and Wright State’s allowed points average.

🔮 Recommended Play
Fade the public on Wright St Raiders — Mathematical edge favors Fort Wayne side across spread and total.

Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.

Highlights unavailable.