NCAAB

Hampton vs Charleston

League: NCAAB | Game Time: 11:00 AM ET • 10:00 AM CT • 9:00 AM MT • 8:00 AM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-26 07:42 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Charleston Cougars / Spread / -4.5 at -110 / 62% / Simulation projects Charleston by 6 points on average; recent form shows superior offense (78.7 PPG) vs. Hampton’s weak defense (73.7 allowed); public/sharp alignment supports.

💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 140.5 at -110 / 58% / Hampton’s low-scoring games (avg 62 PPG scored); combined recent totals trend under with defensive matchups; money 56% on Under.

💰 Best Bet #3 Charleston Cougars / Moneyline / -230 / 74% / Dominant win probability from sim and recent wins; heavy public (73%) and money (78%) consensus with positive EV edge.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Hampton Pirates | 26% |
| Win % for Charleston Cougars | 74% |
| Spread Cover % for Hampton Pirates | 39% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Points | 140 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-20, 8] |

🏀 Matchup: Hampton Pirates vs Charleston Cougars

💸 Public Bets
[Hampton 47% / Charleston 53%]

💰 Money Distribution
[Hampton 42% / Charleston 58%]

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Stable around -4.5 to -5 across books like FanDuel and BetOnline.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+3.2% on Charleston -4.5; sim margin exceeds line by 1.5 points, confirmed by form and alignment.

Top 3 Player Props
Player Prop #1: Ante Brzovic (Charleston) / Over Points / 16.5 at -110 / 72% / Charleston leading scorer in recent wins averaging 18+ PPG; Hampton allows high points to forwards (73+ allowed).
Player Prop #2: Kyrell Martin (Hampton) / Under Points / 13.5 at -115 / 68% / Hampton’s poor offense (62 PPG); Martin usage limited in losses vs. strong defenses like Charleston.
Player Prop #3: Taylor Bol Bowen (Charleston) / Over Rebounds / 7.5 at -110 / 70% / Averages 8+ boards recently; Hampton weak rebounding in low-possession games.

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public betting and money percentages align heavily on Charleston, indicating market consensus without sharp resistance or RLM against. Metrics favor following Charleston due to Hampton’s poor recent scoring and defensive lapses. Overall game projects low-to-mid scoring around 140 total, leaning Under based on Hampton’s offensive struggles.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Charleston Cougars — highest mathematical probability.

Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.

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