NCAAB

Hampton vs Charleston

League: NCAAB | Game Time: 11:00 AM ET • 10:00 AM CT • 9:00 AM MT • 8:00 AM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-26 07:41 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Charleston Cougars / -4.5 / -110 / 58% / Public and money aligned on favorite (53%/58%), simulation shows 55%+ cover probability exceeding implied line, Charleston superior recent form (avg 79 PPG scored)
💰 Best Bet #2 Under / 140.5 / -110 / 55% / Hampton recent games avg total 136 points, money skewed under (56%), defensive metrics and low Hampton offense favor low-scoring affair
💰 Best Bet #3 Charleston Cougars / Moneyline / -230 / 65% / Heavy public/sharp consensus (73%/78% on Cougars), sim win probability 62% with positive EV adjustment from home/away splits

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Charleston Cougars | 62.3% |
| Win % for Hampton Pirates | 37.7% |
| Spread Cover % for Charleston Cougars | 55.2% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 49.1% / Under: 50.9% |
| Average Total Points | 140.5 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-18.2, 29.1] |

💸 Public Bets
Hampton 47% / Charleston 53%

💰 Money Distribution
Hampton 42% / Charleston 58%

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Stable around -4.5 to -5 across books, no significant RLM despite public on favorite

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+3.2% on Charleston -4.5; sim cover exceeds implied probability, supported by Charleston’s scoring edge vs Hampton D (79 vs 74 PPG allowed)

Top 3 Player Props
Player Prop #1: Ante Brzovic (Charleston) / Over 17.5 Points / -110 / 72% / High usage rate leader averaging 20+ recently, Hampton allows 74 PPG to forwards
Player Prop #2: Jermaine Dearman (Hampton) / Under 13.5 Points / -110 / 70% / Struggles vs strong defenses like Charleston’s (72 PPG allowed), recent avg 11 PPG
Player Prop #3: Babatunde Oladotun (Charleston) / Over 8.5 Rebounds / -112 / 68% / Dominant board presence (10+ RPG last 3), Hampton weak on defensive glass per recent trends

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public betting and money percentages align heavily on Charleston, indicating market consensus without sharp resistance or RLM. Metrics from recent form and simulation confirm value in following the favorite, with Charleston exploiting Hampton’s poor offensive output (62 PPG avg). Overall game projects moderate scoring under the total due to Hampton’s defensive-oriented low-possession style.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Charleston Cougars

Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.

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