NCAAB

LIU Sharks vs Chicago State

League: NCAAB | Game Time: 7:00 PM ET • 6:00 PM CT • 5:00 PM MT • 4:00 PM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-26 08:21 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 LIU Sharks -12.5 at -110 | 68% Confidence
LIU Sharks dominate simulation with 67% cover rate; recent form shows strong scoring (79.3 PPG), while Chicago State struggles offensively (recent avg ~61 PPG).

💰 Best Bet #2 Over 139.5 at -110 | 62% Confidence
Simulation projects avg total 144.1 points (60% Over probability); LIU’s higher tempo and Chicago State’s poor defense support pushing past the line despite public lean Under.

💰 Best Bet #3 LIU Sharks Moneyline at -900 | 88% Confidence
87.7% win probability in 10k sims aligns with heavy public (89% bets) and money (94%) on home favorite.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for LIU Sharks | 87.7% |
| Win % for Chicago St Cougars | 12.3% |
| Spread Cover % for LIU Sharks | 67.3% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 60.3% / Under: 39.7% |
| Average Total Points | 144.1 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-7.8, 46.4] |

🏀 Matchup: LIU Sharks vs Chicago St Cougars
💸 Public Bets
[49% / 51%]
💰 Money Distribution
[44% / 56%]
💹 Market Alignment
Divergent
📉 Line Movement
Stable at -12.5; no significant shifts despite slight public/money on dog
💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+6.5% on LIU -12.5 (sim 67% vs implied ~52%); +4% Over

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public and money slightly favor Chicago State +12.5 on spread but heavily back LIU ML, creating value on home spread cover as sim shows strong edge from LIU’s superior recent scoring vs Chicago State’s defensive woes. Game outlook leans higher-scoring with LIU offense driving Over despite public Under bias. Fade public spread play aligns with metrics and no major injuries noted.

🔮 Recommended Play
Fade the public on Chicago St +12.5 — LIU Sharks cover with mathematical superiority.

Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.

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