NCAAB
Florida Atlantic vs 
Temple
League: NCAAB | Game Time: 7:00 PM ET • 6:00 PM CT • 5:00 PM MT • 4:00 PM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-26 08:30 AM EST
💰 Best Bet #1 Florida Atlantic Owls / -4.5 / -110 / 58%
Recent home dominance with blowout wins over weaker foes (avg margin +26), Temple’s road struggles (recent losses), simulation shows 58% cover rate aligning with slight money edge on home.
💰 Best Bet #2 Under / 146.5 / -110 / 55%
FAU home games trending moderate totals (avg 148), Temple defensive lapses but low-scoring losses lately, public/money 56%/60% on under supports low-scoring affair per efficiency trends.
💰 Best Bet #3 Florida Atlantic Owls / Moneyline / -225 / 68%
Home team superior form (2-1 recent, big wins), model win probability exceeds implied 69%, positive EV despite public favoritism.
Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Florida Atlantic Owls | 68% |
| Win % for Temple Owls | 30% |
| Spread Cover % for Florida Atlantic Owls | 58% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Points | 150 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-20, 36] |
🏀 Florida Atlantic Owls vs Temple Owls
💸 Public Bets
[51% / 49%]
💰 Money Distribution
[56% / 44%]
💹 Market Alignment
Aligned
📉 Line Movement
Stable across books at -4.5 / 146.5, no significant RLM despite mild public on home.
💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+3.2% on FAU -4.5; model prob 58% vs implied 52%, backed by recent form and home advantage.
Top 3 Player Props
Player Prop #1: Koby Ayoffe (Florida Atlantic) / Over 16.5 Points / -110 / 72% High usage in home wins (avg 19 pts last 2), Temple weak perimeter D allowing guards to feast.
Player Prop #2: Jamal Haynes (Temple) / Under 14.5 Points / -112 / 68% Struggling efficiency in road losses (avg 11 pts), FAU stout interior limits penetration.
Player Prop #3: Nicholaos Smith (Florida Atlantic) / Over 8.5 Rebounds / -108 / 70% Dominant boards at home (avg 10+ recent), Temple poor defensive rebounding rate.
⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment leans home with alignment to money percentages, supporting follow rather than fade as metrics confirm FAU edge without heavy public skew (>65%). Temple’s recent losses highlight vulnerabilities against structured offenses like FAU’s. Game projects moderate scoring under the total, driven by FAU defense holding opponents under 70 at home lately.
🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Florida Atlantic — model and market consensus point to home win/cover.
Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.
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