MLB

New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians

League: MLB | Game Time: 1:35 PM ET • 12:35 PM CT • 11:35 AM MT • 10:35 AM PT | Last Updated: 2026-06-01 05:52 PM EDT

💰 Best Bet #1 New York Yankees / -1.5 / -1.5 at +102 / 64% / Yankees recent form shows strong offense and Guardians missing key arms; line offers value against public lean.
💰 Best Bet #2 Under / 7.5 / 7.5 at -108 / 61% / Sharp money heavily on Under combined with multiple high-leverage arms sidelined for both clubs points to suppressed scoring.
💰 Best Bet #3 New York Yankees / Moneyline / -215 / 67% / Heavy sharp and public alignment on Yankees plus home advantage and superior recent results deliver positive EV at this price.

🏈 Matchup: New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians on 2026-06-02
💸 Public Bets
Yankees 66% / Guardians 34%
💰 Money Distribution
Yankees 70% / Guardians 30%
💹 Market Alignment
Aligned
📉 Line Movement
Yankees -1.5 held steady with 63% of money on the favorite despite moderate public spread action.
💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
Yankees ML carries +3.8% EV; Under 7.5 carries +2.9% EV based on current market and form.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for New York Yankees | 64% |
| Win % for Cleveland Guardians | 36% |
| Spread Cover % for New York Yankees | 53% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 41% / Under: 59% |
| Average Total Runs | 7.1 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-1, +5] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player Prop #1: Aaron Judge Over 1.5 total bases at -115 / 68% / Elite matchup vs Guardians pitching staff missing Clase plus Judge’s 1.12 OPS in current season.
Player Prop #2: Anthony Volpe Over 0.5 runs at -130 / 66% / High on-base rate and Guardians allowing leadoff runners at elevated clip.
Player Prop #3: Jose Ramirez Under 1.5 total bases at -105 / 64% / Yankees bullpen depth and Ramirez’s recent 0.92 OPS against right-handed pitching.

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public and sharp money align strongly on the Yankees side while the Under receives the clearest sharp support. Injuries to key Guardians relievers and Yankees starters tilt the environment toward lower run totals. The data supports following the market on New York.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with New York Yankees.

Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.

🔍 Gemini Deep Look Analysis

Gemini recommends passing on this game (analysis was unclear)