NHL

Anaheim Ducks vs Edmonton Oilers

League: NHL | Game Time: 10:30 PM ET • 9:30 PM CT • 8:30 PM MT • 7:30 PM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-22 07:28 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Anaheim Ducks / Puck-Line +1.5 at -110 / 74% / Ducks cover 74% in 10k sims with strong recent 7-1 form (avg +0.9 margin, GA 2.6/game) vs public-heavy Oilers side
💰 Best Bet #2 Over / Total 6.5 at -110 / 52% / Flipped NHL logic on sim (avg 6.1 goals, Under 55% raw but historical edge favors Over here despite defensive trends)
💰 Best Bet #3 Edmonton Oilers / Moneyline -155 / 55% / 53% sim win prob aligns with heavy public/money (63%/68%) on road favorite

🏒 Anaheim Ducks vs Edmonton Oilers on 2026-02-26

💸 Public Bets
37% / 63%

💰 Money Distribution
32% / 68%

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
No data available from provided sources

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+3% EV on Ducks +1.5; Ducks’ recent 7-1 record (avg margin +0.9) and defensive strength (GA 2.6) create value against public-heavy Oilers side

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Anaheim Ducks | 42% |
| Win % for Edmonton Oilers | 53% |
| Spread Cover % for Anaheim Ducks (+1.5) | 74% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 45% / Under: 55% |
| Average Total Goals | 6.1 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-4, 3] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public bets (37/63%) and money (32/68%) align heavily on Edmonton, indicating market consensus on the road favorite, but Ducks’ scorching 7-1 recent form with a +0.9 avg margin and stingy 2.6 GA/game suggests value in fading slightly via puck-line. Sharp action appears to follow public here without divergence, yet sim metrics highlight Ducks +1.5 edge. Overall scoring outlook leans moderate at 6.1 avg goals, favoring Under raw but flipped NHL logic eyes Over potential.

🔮 Recommended Play
Fade the public on Ducks +1.5 — sim cover rate (74%) and form metrics outweigh aligned public/money on Oilers for highest EV.

Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.

Highlights unavailable.