Anaheim Ducks vs Utah Mammoth

League: NHL | Date: 2025-11-17 10:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-11-17 05:13 PM EST

Anaheim Ducks vs Utah Mammoth on 2025-11-17

Game Times
ET: 10:00 PM
CT: 9:00 PM
MT: 8:00 PM
PT: 7:00 PM
AKT: 6:00 PM
HST: 4:00 PM

💰 Best Bet #1 [Utah Mammoth / Spread / +1.5 at -180 / 58% / Simulation indicates 58% cover rate for the underdog puck line, supported by Ducks’ recent close games and Utah’s defensive resilience in matchups]
💰 Best Bet #2 [Under / Total / 5.5 at -110 / 55% / Average simulated goals at 5.3 with both teams showing low xG in recent outings, favoring a tighter defensive battle]
💰 Best Bet #3 [Anaheim Ducks / Moneyline / -105 / 52% / Home-ice edge and 52% win probability from metrics, despite Utah’s road form]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Anaheim Ducks | 52% |
| Win % for Utah Mammoth | 46% |
| Tie % | 2% |
| Puck Line Cover % for Anaheim Ducks (-1.5) | 42% |
| Puck Line Cover % for Utah Mammoth (+1.5) | 58% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 49% / Under: 51% |
| Average Total Goals | 5.3 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-2, +2] |

💸 Public Bets
[Anaheim Ducks 55% / Utah Mammoth 45%]

💰 Money Distribution
[Anaheim Ducks 60% / Utah Mammoth 40%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
[Opened at Ducks -105 ML, moved slightly to -105 with stable action; puck line steady at Utah +1.5 -180, total at 5.5]

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3% on Utah +1.5 due to simulation cover rate exceeding implied probability; slight +1% EV on Ducks ML from home advantage convergence]

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment leans toward the home Ducks with aligned money distribution, supporting a follow on their moneyline given the sharp consensus and home metrics. The matchup projects as low-scoring with both defenses limiting high-danger chances, favoring the under based on xGA per 60 and recent form. No major contrarian edge emerges, as line stability reinforces the market’s view without reverse movement.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Anaheim Ducks] —

Highlights unavailable.