Arizona State vs West Virginia

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-21 09:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-21 11:38 AM EST

Arizona State vs West Virginia on 2026-01-21

💰 Best Bet #1 [Arizona State / Spread / -2.5 at -110 / 55% / Arizona State benefits from home court edge and recent form, with simulation showing a slight cover probability despite West Virginia’s intact roster.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Under / Total / 147.5 at -110 / 54% / Both teams exhibit moderate defensive efficiencies in recent matchups, with injuries limiting Arizona State’s scoring potential leading to a lower-scoring affair.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Arizona State / Moneyline / -135 / 58% / Home advantage and balanced offense give Arizona State the edge over West Virginia’s road challenges.]

Game Times
ET: 9:00 PM
CT: 8:00 PM
MT: 7:00 PM
PT: 6:00 PM
AKT: 5:00 PM
HST: 3:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
[Arizona State 65% / West Virginia 35%]

💰 Money Distribution
[Arizona State 58% / West Virginia 42%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
[Opened at -1.5, moved to -2.5 with balanced action; no significant RLM observed.]

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+2.5% on Arizona State spread; implied probability undervalues home performance metrics and simulation outcomes.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Arizona State | 55% |
| Win % for West Virginia | 45% |
| Spread Cover % for Arizona State | 52% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Points | 147.5 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-12, 13] |

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment leans toward Arizona State, aligning with money distribution and sharp indicators, supporting a follow strategy rather than a fade. Arizona State’s home advantage and West Virginia’s limited road experience in the conference bolster this alignment. The game outlook points to moderate scoring, with defensive rebounding and injury impacts capping the total below the line.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Arizona State] — mathematical probability favors the home team based on form and simulation edges.

Highlights unavailable.