Bellarmine vs Northern Kentucky

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-12-13 02:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-13 11:02 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [Bellarmine / Spread / +4.5 at -110 / 55% / Simulation indicates strong cover probability with recent form and defensive metrics favoring the underdog against NKU’s pace.]
💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 142.5 at -110 / 52% / Both teams’ offensive efficiencies and rebounding rates point to a game exceeding the line, supported by current season averages.]
💰 Best Bet #3 [Northern Kentucky / Moneyline / -190 / 53% / Higher win probability from simulation, bolstered by home advantage and NKU’s superior adjusted efficiency ratings.]

🏀 Matchup: Bellarmine vs Northern Kentucky on 2025-12-13

Game Times

ET: 2:00 PM
CT: 1:00 PM
MT: 12:00 PM
PT: 11:00 AM
AKT: 10:00 AM
HST: 8:00 AM

💸 Public Bets

[40% Bellarmine / 60% Northern Kentucky]

💰 Money Distribution

[45% Bellarmine / 55% Northern Kentucky]

💹 Market Alignment

[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement

Line opened at +4 and has held steady at +4.5 with balanced action, no significant sharp movement noted in current reports.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)

[+2.5% on Bellarmine spread / Positive EV from simulation cover rate exceeding implied odds probability, with contextual adjustments for NKU’s recent defensive lapses.]

Top 3 Player Props

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

Simulation Results

| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Bellarmine | 45.2% |
| Win % for Northern Kentucky | 52.8% |
| Spread Cover % for Bellarmine (+4.5) | 55.3% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 52.1% / Under: 47.9% |
| Average Total Points | 142.3 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-20.5, 16.8] |

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment leans toward Northern Kentucky, aligning with money distribution and market consensus, suggesting no strong fade opportunity as sharp action appears supportive of the favorite. Mathematical edges favor the spread value on Bellarmine due to simulation outcomes and recent form disparities. Overall game scoring outlook projects moderately high totals based on both teams’ pace and offensive rebounding percentages in the current season.

🔮 Recommended Play

[Follow the public with Northern Kentucky] — simulation and metrics confirm the favorite’s edge in win probability.

Highlights unavailable.