NCAAB
Binghamton vs 
New Hampshire Wildcats
League: NCAAB | Game Time: 6:00 PM ET • 5:00 PM CT • 4:00 PM MT • 3:00 PM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-26 07:48 AM EST
💰 Best Bet #1 Binghamton Bearcats / +1.5 / -110 / 55%
Home underdogs show value with alignment on recent defensive improvements and home-court edge offsetting slight public lean to favorite.
💰 Best Bet #2 Under / 140.5 / -108 / 54%
Combined recent game totals average 145 but pace adjustments and money skew to Under indicate low-scoring affair based on efficiency metrics.
💰 Best Bet #3 New Hampshire Wildcats / Moneyline / -140 / 52%
Narrow favorite backed by money distribution despite public bets near even; sim projects slim edge in close matchup.
Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Binghamton Bearcats | 49% |
| Win % for New Hampshire Wildcats | 51% |
| Spread Cover % for Binghamton Bearcats (+1.5) | 54% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 51% / Under: 49% |
| Average Total Points | 141 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-14, 17] |
💸 Public Bets
[Binghamton 45% / New Hampshire 55%]
💰 Money Distribution
[Binghamton 40% / New Hampshire 60%]
💹 Market Alignment
Aligned
📉 Line Movement
Line steady from +2/-2 across books to +1.5/-1.5 on Playbook tier-1, no major RLM despite money on favorite.
💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+2.8% on Binghamton +1.5; implied prob undervalues home cover likelihood from sim and recent form convergence.
Top 3 Player Props
Player Prop #1: Ian Milne (Binghamton) / Over 7.5 Rebounds / -110 / 68% / Leads team in rebounding rate (28% ORB%), UNH allows 35+ opponent boards per game recently.
Player Prop #2: Ahmad Robinson (New Hampshire) / Over 13.5 Points / -112 / 62% / High usage (27%) vs Binghamton’s weak perimeter D allowing 15+ PPG to guards.
Player Prop #3: Tarius Gray (Binghamton) / Over 2.5 Assists / -108 / 65% / Primary playmaker averaging 3.2 APG last 5, exploits UNH turnover-prone backcourt (18% TO%).
⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public bets and money align on New Hampshire but lack heavy skew (>65%), supporting no aggressive fade; sim and recent trends favor home cover value without invalidating favorite. Overall scoring projects neutral around line with defensive rebounding edges limiting second-chance points. Contextual factors like early-season form persist into late matchup without reported injuries altering outlook.
🔮 Recommended Play
Fade the public slightly on Binghamton +1.5 — highest EV from sim cover rate exceeding implied odds.
Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.
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