Boston Celtics vs New York Knicks

League: NBA | Date: 2025-12-02 08:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-02 07:07 PM EST

🧠 Top 3 Overall Best Bets

💰 Best Bet #1 Celtics / Spread / +1.5 at -110 / 58% / RLM from Knicks -2.5 to -1.5 despite heavy public on Knicks signals sharp action; sim cover rate 58.3% exceeds implied probability.

💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 223.5 at -110 / 52% / Key injuries (Tatum out, Anunoby out) limit scoring efficiency; teams’ defensive metrics and sim avg total 223.7 favor slight under edge.

💰 Best Bet #3 Celtics / Moneyline / +110 / 52% / Home resilience without Tatum balanced by Knicks’ absences; sim win probability 51.8% creates value vs road favorite pricing.

🏀 Boston Celtics vs New York Knicks on 2025-12-02

Game Times
ET: 8:00 PM
CT: 7:00 PM
MT: 6:00 PM
PT: 5:00 PM
AKT: 4:00 PM
HST: 2:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
Knicks 65% / Celtics 35%

💰 Money Distribution
Knicks 45% / Celtics 55%

💹 Market Alignment
Divergent

📉 Line Movement
Opened Knicks -2.5, moved to -1.5 despite public on Knicks (RLM signals sharp action on Celtics)

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+3.5% on Celtics +1.5 (sim cover 58.3% vs -110 implied 52.4%; injuries balanced, home resilience)

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Boston Celtics | 51.8% |
| Win % for New York Knicks | 48.2% |
| Spread Cover % for Boston Celtics (+1.5) | 58.3% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48.5% / Under: 51.5% |
| Average Total Points | 223.7 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-14.2, 16.8] |

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public heavily favors Knicks (65%) but money leans Celtics (55%), creating divergence amplified by RLM toward Boston, indicating sharp resistance to road favorite. Injuries are balanced with Tatum out for Celtics and Anunoby/Shamet sidelined for Knicks, supporting home cover value without inflating totals. Overall game projects low-scoring grind given defensive rebounding edges and missing scorers, aligning under probability.

🔮 Recommended Play
Fade the public on Celtics — sim and market signals confirm highest EV probability.

Highlights unavailable.