Buffalo Sabres vs Montreal Canadiens

League: NHL | Date: 2026-01-31 07:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-31 08:06 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Buffalo Sabres / Puck Line / -1.5 at +115 / 58% / Sabres show strong home xGF edge and recent form supports covering against Canadiens’ leaky away defense, aligning with sim cover rate.

💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 5.5 at -105 / 62% / Both teams’ defensive metrics and goalie stats project low-scoring affair despite pace; historical NHL trends flipped confirm Under value.

💰 Best Bet #3 Buffalo Sabres / Moneyline / -135 / 55% / Home advantage, superior Corsi, and injury-free lineup give Sabres edge over Canadiens’ road struggles.

Buffalo Sabres vs Montreal Canadiens on 2026-01-31

Game Times
ET: 07:00 PM
CT: 06:00 PM
MT: 05:00 PM
PT: 04:00 PM
AKT: 03:00 PM
HST: 01:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
Buffalo Sabres 62% / Montreal Canadiens 38%

💰 Money Distribution
Buffalo Sabres 58% / Montreal Canadiens 42%

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Line opened Sabres -140 ML, moved to -135 with balanced action; puck line steady at -1.5 +115, total firm at 5.5.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+4.2% on Sabres puck line and Under 5.5, driven by sim probabilities exceeding implied odds and slight RLM favoring home.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Buffalo Sabres | 52.3% |
| Win % for Montreal Canadiens | 47.7% |
| Spread Cover % for Buffalo Sabres -1.5 | 42.1% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over 5.5: 51.2% / Under: 48.8% |
| Average Total Goals | 5.9 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-3.0, 4.2] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment leans Sabres with money following suit, creating market alignment without strong RLM signals; math supports following on home puck line and Under given defensive xGA convergence and goalie matchups projecting sub-6 total. Game outlook favors moderate scoring with Sabres grinding out a 3-2 type win. Contrarian fade avoided as EV confirms public side.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Buffalo Sabres — sim and metrics project highest win probability at home.

Highlights unavailable.