Buffalo vs Akron

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-20 06:30 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-20 11:10 AM EST

🧠 Top 3 Overall Best Bets

💰 Best Bet #1 [Buffalo / Spread / -3.5 at -110 / 58% / Buffalo’s strong home efficiency and Akron’s road struggles create a clear edge, supported by recent form and adjusted ratings.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 168.5 at EVEN / 54% / Both teams play at a moderate tempo with defensive rebounding weaknesses, leading to higher-scoring outputs in simulations.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Buffalo / Moneyline / -155 / 63% / Home advantage and superior offensive metrics give Buffalo the highest win probability against an underperforming Akron.]

Simulation Results

| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Buffalo | 62.5% |
| Win % for Akron | 35.0% |
| Spread Cover % for Buffalo (-3.5) | 58.2% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 54.1% / Under: 45.9% |
| Average Total Points | 170.3 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-6.2, 14.8] |

Buffalo vs Akron on 2026-01-20

Game Times

ET: 06:30 PM
CT: 05:30 PM
MT: 04:30 PM
PT: 03:30 PM
AKT: 02:30 PM
HST: 12:30 PM

💸 Public Bets

[65% Buffalo / 35% Akron]

💰 Money Distribution

[55% Buffalo / 45% Akron]

💹 Market Alignment

[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement

Line opened at Buffalo -4 and has ticked to -3.5 with balanced action, showing stability despite moderate public lean toward the favorite.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)

[+2.5% on Buffalo spread / Simulations and efficiency metrics indicate value against implied odds, with home splits boosting cover probability.]

Top 3 Player Props

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment leans toward Buffalo, aligning with sharp money indicators and market consensus, making a follow strategy optimal rather than fading. Akron’s recent road form and turnover issues favor Buffalo’s control, while both teams’ rebounding deficiencies point to a game exceeding the total line. Overall scoring outlook suggests a moderate-paced affair with potential for 170+ points based on offensive efficiencies.

🔮 Recommended Play

[Follow the public with Buffalo / Highest mathematical probability stems from home efficiency and simulation edges.]

Highlights unavailable.