Buffalo vs VMI

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-11-24 02:30 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-11-24 09:18 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Buffalo / Spread / -5.5 at -110 / 60% / Buffalo enters undefeated at 5-0 with strong offensive efficiency against VMI’s middling defense, providing a clear edge to cover at home.
💰 Best Bet #2 Over / Total / 150.5 at -110 / 55% / Both teams play at moderate tempos with Buffalo’s high-scoring starts and VMI’s leaky defense suggesting a combined output above the line based on recent trends.
💰 Best Bet #3 Buffalo / Moneyline / -250 / 68% / Buffalo’s superior form and home advantage make them the reliable favorite against a 3-4 VMI squad struggling on the road.

Buffalo vs VMI on 2025-11-24

Game Times
ET: 02:30 PM
CT: 01:30 PM
MT: 12:30 PM
PT: 11:30 AM
AKT: 10:30 AM
HST: 08:30 AM

💸 Public Bets
Buffalo 75% / VMI 25%

💰 Money Distribution
Buffalo 60% / VMI 40%

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Line opened at -6 and moved to -5.5 with steady public action on Buffalo, indicating no sharp resistance.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+2.5% on Buffalo -5.5, driven by their undefeated record and efficiency metrics outpacing VMI’s, creating value despite public favoritism.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|———————————|——————————–|
| Win % for Buffalo | 68.0% |
| Win % for VMI | 32.0% |
| Spread Cover % for Buffalo | 55.0% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 52.0% / Under: 48.0% |
| Average Total Points | 152.0 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-12.0, 20.0] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment heavily favors Buffalo, aligning with sharp money indicators and the Bulls’ strong early-season form, making a follow strategy optimal rather than fading. VMI’s recent losses highlight defensive vulnerabilities that Buffalo’s offense can exploit. Overall, the game projects as moderately high-scoring, with both teams’ tempos and efficiencies pointing to a total exceeding the line in over half of simulations.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Buffalo — their metrics and home edge provide the strongest probability of success.

Highlights unavailable.