Butler Bulldogs vs Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-11-05 07:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-11-05 05:56 PM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [Butler Bulldogs / Spread / -22.5 at -110 / 72% / Butler’s superior efficiency ratings and home advantage project a dominant win, with simulation covering in 72% of scenarios despite early-season rust.]
💰 Best Bet #2 [Under / Total / 156.5 at -110 / 52% / Both teams’ defensive projections and moderate tempos suggest a controlled pace, leaning slightly under the line based on preseason metrics.]
💰 Best Bet #3 [Butler Bulldogs / Moneyline / -5000 / 88% / Overwhelming favoritism backed by 88% simulated win probability, factoring in talent disparity.]

Butler Bulldogs vs Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles on 2025-11-05

Game Times

ET: 7:00 PM
CT: 6:00 PM
MT: 5:00 PM
PT: 4:00 PM
AKT: 3:00 PM
HST: 1:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
[85% / 15%]

💰 Money Distribution
[80% / 20%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
Line opened around -20 but has ticked to -22.5 across books like DraftKings and FanDuel, indicating sharp action on Butler despite public favoritism.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+4% on Butler spread; simulation and efficiency edges confirm value against implied odds, with no major injuries shifting dynamics.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Butler Bulldogs | 88% |
| Win % for Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles | 12% |
| Spread Cover % for Butler Bulldogs | 72% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Points | 157 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-28, -12] |

Top 3 Player Props

Player props unavailable due to roster verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment heavily favors Butler, aligning with sharp money as evidenced by line movement toward the favorite, making a follow strategy optimal given the talent gap and home-court edge. Both teams’ preseason defensive efficiencies point to a game unlikely to explode offensively, supporting a modest total outlook. No significant injuries beyond Butler’s absences of a freshman and center, which do not alter the projection meaningfully.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Butler Bulldogs] — mathematical probability strongly supports the favorite in this mismatch.

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