Butler vs Providence

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-12-13 02:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-13 11:05 AM EST

Butler vs Providence on 2025-12-13

💰 Best Bet #1 [Butler / Spread / -4.5 at -110 / 58% / Butler’s strong home performance and recent form give them an edge to cover against a Providence team struggling on the road.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Under / Total / 164.5 at -110 / 52% / Both teams exhibit defensive tendencies in recent matchups, with averages below the line and injuries impacting offensive output.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Butler / Moneyline / -190 / 65% / Home advantage and superior efficiency ratings favor Butler in a matchup where Providence has underperformed as underdogs.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Butler | 65% |
| Win % for Providence | 35% |
| Spread Cover % for Butler | 58% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Points | 162 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-8, +2] |

Game Times
ET: 2:00 PM
CT: 1:00 PM
MT: 12:00 PM
PT: 11:00 AM
AKT: 10:00 AM
HST: 8:00 AM

💸 Public Bets
[70% / 30%]

💰 Money Distribution
[60% / 40%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
Line moved from -6.5 to -4.5, favoring Providence despite heavy public action on Butler, indicating possible sharp interest in the underdog.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3% on Butler spread; simulation probabilities exceed implied odds, supported by home efficiency and Providence’s road ATS struggles.]

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment leans heavily toward Butler, aligning with sharp money as evidenced by stable lines post-movement, making following the favorite the optimal approach based on current season metrics. Both teams’ defenses rank solidly, pointing to a lower-scoring affair under the total. Overall, the matchup favors Butler’s home dominance without significant contrarian value.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Butler] — mathematical probabilities confirm the edge in this home favorite scenario.

Highlights unavailable.