Carolina Hurricanes vs Winnipeg Jets

League: NHL | Date: 2025-11-28 05:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-11-28 03:02 PM EST

Carolina Hurricanes vs Winnipeg Jets on 2025-11-28

💰 Best Bet #1 Carolina Hurricanes / Puck Line / -1.5 at +110 / 58% / Hurricanes hold a strong edge with Andersen in net against Jets’ backup Comrie, supported by superior xGF metrics and home-ice advantage, projecting a multi-goal win in simulations.

💰 Best Bet #2 Over / Total / 6.0 at -110 / 55% / Despite defensive tendencies, matchup favors goals due to Jets’ weakened goaltending and both teams’ top-10 xGA rates, with recent trends showing overs in similar spots.

💰 Best Bet #3 Carolina Hurricanes / Moneyline / -217 / 65% / Dominant form and key injuries to Jets’ Hellebuyck tilt the scales heavily, aligning with line movement and sharp action on the home favorite.

Game Times

ET: 05:00 PM
CT: 04:00 PM
MT: 03:00 PM
PT: 02:00 PM
AKT: 01:00 PM
HST: 11:00 AM

💸 Public Bets
Carolina Hurricanes 68% / Winnipeg Jets 32%

💰 Money Distribution
Carolina Hurricanes 72% / Winnipeg Jets 28%

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Line opened at Hurricanes -200 ML but moved to -217 amid injury news on Jets’ Hellebuyck, with puck line steady at -1.5 +110 despite public lean.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+4.2% on Hurricanes puck line, driven by goalie mismatch and Jets’ recent defensive regression, where implied probability undervalues the home team’s projected 62% win rate.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Carolina Hurricanes | 62.00% |
| Win % for Winnipeg Jets | 24.00% |
| Spread Cover % for Carolina Hurricanes | 42.00% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48.00% / Under: 52.00% |
| Average Total Goals | 5.80 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-2.00, 4.00] |

Top 3 Player Props

Player Prop #1: Sebastian Aho / Over Points / 0.5 at -130 / 72% / Aho’s 1.2 points per game average against Central teams, boosted by top-line usage and Jets’ penalty-prone defense allowing high-danger chances.

Player Prop #2: Kyle Connor / Over Shots on Goal / 3.5 at -115 / 68% / Connor leads Jets with 3.8 SOG per game in 2025, exploiting Hurricanes’ occasional gaps in coverage without Slavin anchoring the blue line.

Player Prop #3: Andrei Svechnikov / Over Points / 0.5 at -120 / 70% / Svechnikov’s shooting efficiency (18% on 3.5 SOG/GP) pairs well against Comrie’s .890 SV%, with power-play opportunities favoring multi-point potential.

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment heavily favors the Hurricanes, aligning with sharp money and line movement toward the home side, making a follow strategy optimal rather than a fade. The Jets’ goaltending woes from Hellebuyck’s absence elevate Carolina’s scoring outlook, though both defenses cap totals around league averages. Overall, the matchup projects as a moderate-scoring affair with a clear favorite edge.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Carolina Hurricanes — mathematical projections and market consensus point to a strong home win probability.

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