Charleston vs Charlotte

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-12-14 04:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-14 10:03 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [Charleston / Spread / -4.5 at -110 / 55% / Charleston holds a slight edge with home-court advantage and balanced recent form against a middling Charlotte squad, supported by defensive metrics allowing under 70 points per game.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Under / Total / 140.5 at -110 / 52% / Both teams rank in the lower half for pace and offensive efficiency this season, with Charleston’s stout home defense and Charlotte’s road struggles pointing to a controlled, lower-scoring affair.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Charleston / Moneyline / -190 / 58% / Charleston’s superior adjusted defensive rating and home win rate (3-2 at home) give them the nod over a 4-6 Charlotte team hampered by turnover issues.]

Charleston vs Charlotte on 2025-12-14

Game Times

ET: 04:00 PM
CT: 03:00 PM
MT: 02:00 PM
PT: 01:00 PM
AKT: 12:00 PM
HST: 10:00 AM

💸 Public Bets
[60% / 40%]

💰 Money Distribution
[55% / 45%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
Line opened at -4 and has held steady at -4.5, with minimal movement despite moderate public action on the favorite.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+2% on Charleston spread; implied probability of 52.4% vs. estimated true probability of 55%, driven by home advantage and Charlotte’s poor road ATS record (1-4).]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Charleston | 58.0% |
| Win % for Charlotte | 42.0% |
| Spread Cover % for Charleston | 52.0% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48.0% / Under: 52.0% |
| Average Total Points | 142.0 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-10.0, 18.0] |

Top 3 Player Props

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment leans toward Charleston with aligned money distribution, suggesting no sharp resistance and supporting a follow strategy on the favorite. Both teams exhibit middling offensive outputs but strong defensive tendencies, particularly Charleston at home, forecasting a game under the total line. Overall, the matchup favors a grind-it-out win for the Cougars without high-scoring fireworks.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Charleston] — mathematical probabilities align with market consensus for a home win.

Highlights unavailable.