NCAAB

Charleston vs Monmouth

League: NCAAB | Game Time: 4:00 PM ET • 3:00 PM CT • 2:00 PM MT • 1:00 PM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-21 09:57 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Charleston Cougars / -4 / -4 at -110 / 52% / Home team holds edge with favorable public/money alignment on ML and recent form implied by favoritism despite even public split on spread.

💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 148.5 at -110 / 54% / Money heavily favors under (60%), converging with typical NCAAB defensive paces in conference play.

💰 Best Bet #3 Charleston Cougars / Moneyline / -175 / 64% / Strong home win probability backed by 69% public bets and 74% money on home.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Charleston Cougars | 63% |
| Win % for Monmouth Hawks | 35% |
| Spread Cover % for Charleston Cougars | 52% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 49% / Under: 51% |
| Average Total Points | 148 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-9, 21] |

🏈 Matchup: Charleston Cougars vs Monmouth Hawks

💸 Public Bets
[49% / 51%]

💰 Money Distribution
[44% / 56%]

💹 Market Alignment
Divergent

📉 Line Movement
Stable per available tier1 lines at -4 to -4.5

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+2.5% on Charleston -4; sharp money resistance on dog but home metrics and sim support cover.

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment nearly split on spread with slight lean home, but money flows to Monmouth underdog indicating possible sharp action; however, ML alignment favors Charleston strongly. Fade public marginally on spread as sim and home advantage converge for Cougars cover. Game projects low-to-average scoring with under edge from money concentration.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Charleston Cougars — highest mathematical probability per sim win % and market consensus on ML.

Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.

Highlights unavailable.