NBA
Charlotte Hornets vs 
Cleveland Cavaliers
League: NBA | Game Time: 7:00 PM ET • 6:00 PM CT • 5:00 PM MT • 4:00 PM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-20 05:19 PM EST
💰 Best Bet #1 Cleveland Cavaliers / Spread / -5 at -106 / 58% / Public bets 55% and money 60% on Cavaliers, aligned with sim cover edge adjusted from 51.9% at -6.5
💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 228.5 at -115 / 57% / Sim Under 57.2% probability exceeds implied odds, backed by money 60% under and teams’ defensive metrics in recent form
💰 Best Bet #3 Cleveland Cavaliers / Moneyline / -210 / 62% / Sim win probability 61.5% converges with heavy public 74% and money 79% favoring Cavaliers
Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Charlotte Hornets | 36.2% |
| Win % for Cleveland Cavaliers | 61.5% |
| Spread Cover % for Charlotte Hornets (+6.5) | 48.1% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 42.8% / Under: 57.2% |
| Average Total Points | 230.0 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-19.0, 32.0] |
🏀 Matchup: Charlotte Hornets vs Cleveland Cavaliers on 2026-02-21
💸 Public Bets
[Hornets 45% / Cavaliers 55%]
💰 Money Distribution
[Hornets 40% / Cavaliers 60%]
💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]
📉 Line Movement
[Stable at Cavaliers -5 across sportsbooks]
💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3.2% on Cavaliers spread; sim cover probability and public/money consensus outweigh Hornets’ recent 8-2 form amid average margin of +7.8]
Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure
⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public betting (55% on Cavaliers spread, 74% ML) aligns closely with money distribution (60%/79% on Cavaliers), indicating consensus without sharp resistance or RLM. Hornets’ strong 8-2 recent form (avg +7.8 margin, 112.4 PPG scored) faces Cavaliers’ sim-backed edge (61.5% win probability), supporting follow over fade. Overall scoring projects moderately high at 230 average total, but under 228.5 holds edge from 57.2% sim probability and 60% money under.
🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Cavaliers — mathematical probability favors alignment on spread and ML given sim convergence and no contrarian signals.
Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.
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