Charlotte Hornets vs Toronto Raptors

League: NBA | Date: 2025-11-29 06:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-11-29 05:49 PM EST

Charlotte Hornets vs Toronto Raptors on 2025-11-29

💰 Best Bet #1 Toronto Raptors / Spread / -9.5 at -110 / 58% / Raptors riding nine-game win streak with 14-5 record against Hornets’ 5-14 mark; simulation shows 55% cover rate adjusted for line, strong road form supports edge despite public fade attempts.

💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 234.5 at -110 / 55% / Combined pace trends and simulation average of 221.8 points below line; Hornets back-to-back fatigue limits scoring, defensive metrics favor lower total.

💰 Best Bet #3 Toronto Raptors / Moneyline / -330 / 62% / 66% win probability from 10,000 sims aligns with superior efficiency ratings, recent dominance (121-113 projected avg).

Game Times
ET: 6:00 PM
CT: 5:00 PM
MT: 4:00 PM
PT: 3:00 PM
AKT: 2:00 PM
HST: 12:00 PM

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Charlotte Hornets | 34% |
| Win % for Toronto Raptors | 66% |
| Spread Cover % for Charlotte Hornets (+5.5) | 45% |
| Spread Cover % for Toronto Raptors (-5.5) | 55% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 47% / Under: 53% |
| Average Total Points | 221.8 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-12, +8] |

💸 Public Bets
Toronto Raptors 72% / Charlotte Hornets 28%

💰 Money Distribution
Toronto Raptors 78% / Charlotte Hornets 22%

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Opened -8.5, moved to -9.5 on Raptors sharp action despite public heavy on favorite; stable total around 234.5.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+4% on Raptors spread — reverse line movement signals pros on Toronto amid public overreaction to Hornets home spot.

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment heavily favors Toronto aligning with money distribution and sharp indicators, supported by Raptors’ hot streak and Hornets’ poor form on back-to-back. Following the market consensus optimal here as EV confirms value without contrarian need. Game projects low-scoring with under favored by pace slowdown and defensive focus.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Toronto Raptors — highest probability backed by sims, form, and market convergence.

Highlights unavailable.