NBA

Charlotte Hornets vs Toronto Raptors

League: NBA | Date: 2026-01-07 07:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-07 06:12 PM EST

Top 3 Overall Best Bets

💰 Best Bet #1 [Toronto Raptors / Spread / -2 at -110 / 55% / Raptors hold a stronger 22-15 record compared to Hornets’ 13-23, with recent wins showing defensive edge; simulation supports 58% win probability, and line movement stable despite public lean.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Under / Total / 230.5 at -110 / 54% / Both teams average under 225 points in recent games, with Toronto’s pace slow and Charlotte struggling offensively post-injuries; simulation average total at 223 points favors under.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Toronto Raptors / Moneyline / -125 / 58% / Toronto’s road form and key players like Barnes outperforming expectations give edge over fading Hornets; aligns with sharp money consensus.]

🏀 Matchup: Charlotte Hornets vs Toronto Raptors on 2026-01-07

Game Times

ET: 7:00 PM
CT: 6:00 PM
MT: 5:00 PM
PT: 4:00 PM
AKT: 3:00 PM
HST: 1:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
[40% / 60%]

💰 Money Distribution
[35% / 65%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
Line opened at -1.5 for Raptors and moved to -2 despite 60% public on Toronto, indicating sharp support for the favorite.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3% on Raptors spread; implied probability from odds undervalues Toronto’s 58% win chance per simulation, supported by record disparity and no major injuries shifting dynamics.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Charlotte Hornets | 42.0% |
| Win % for Toronto Raptors | 58.0% |
| Spread Cover % for Charlotte Hornets | 52.0% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48.0% / Under: 52.0% |
| Average Total Points | 223.0 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-15.0, 20.0] |

Top 3 Player Props

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment leans toward the Raptors with 60% of bets, aligning with sharp money at 65%, creating consensus without reverse line movement signals for a fade. Following the public on Toronto proves optimal here, as their superior record and defensive metrics outweigh Charlotte’s home edge. Overall game scoring outlook points low, with both teams’ offensive ratings below league average and simulation favoring under 230.5.

🔮 Recommended Play

[Follow the public with Toronto Raptors] — mathematical probability favors their win at 58%, backed by form and market data.

Highlights unavailable.