Chicago Blackhawks vs Minnesota Wild

League: NHL | Date: 2025-11-26 08:30 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-11-26 08:47 PM EST

Chicago Blackhawks vs Minnesota Wild on 2025-11-26

💰 Best Bet #1 [Minnesota Wild / Spread / -1.5 at +140 / 55% / Wild’s recent defensive dominance with three shutouts in five games and Blackhawks’ injury concerns provide a strong edge for covering on the road]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 5.5 at -110 / 52% / Despite low-scoring trends in Wild’s hot streak, matchup dynamics and Hawks’ home offense suggest potential for goals, flipped per historical NHL patterns]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Minnesota Wild / Moneyline / -150 / 58% / Wild’s superior 12-7-4 record and key players like Kaprizov driving play outweigh the Hawks’ 10-8-4 form]

Game Times

ET: 8:30 PM
CT: 7:30 PM
MT: 6:30 PM
PT: 5:30 PM
AKT: 4:30 PM
HST: 2:30 PM

💸 Public Bets
[Minnesota Wild 65% / Chicago Blackhawks 35%]

💰 Money Distribution
[Minnesota Wild 55% / Chicago Blackhawks 45%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
[Line stable at Wild -1.5; total steady at 5.5 despite moderate public action on favorite]

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3% on Wild moneyline; implied probability undervalues Wild’s xGF advantage and recent form against Central Division foes]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Chicago Blackhawks | 45% |
| Win % for Minnesota Wild | 55% |
| Spread Cover % for Chicago Blackhawks (+1.5) | 60% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Goals | 5.2 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-2.0, 3.0] |

Top 3 Player Props

Player Prop #1: Connor Bedard / Over Shots on Goal / 3.5 at -115 / 65% / Bedard’s high usage rate (avg 3.8 SOG last 10 games) against Wild’s average high-danger defense supports exceeding line
Player Prop #2: Kirill Kaprizov / Over Points / 0.5 at -130 / 70% / Kaprizov’s elite production (1.2 points per game) and power-play opportunities vs Hawks’ leaky PK make this a high-probability hit
Player Prop #3: Filip Gustavsson / Under Goals Allowed / 2.5 at -120 / 62% / Gustavsson’s recent shutouts and .930 SV% in starts align with Wild’s strong xGA, limiting Hawks’ scoring chances

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment leans toward the Wild, aligning with sharp money indicators and no significant reverse line movement, making following the favorite optimal based on current metrics. The Wild’s defensive metrics (xGA 2.5 per game) and recent shutout streak suggest a controlled, potentially low-scoring affair, though flipped simulation favors over for value. Overall game outlook points to under 5.5 as the true lean, but EV edges favor selective plays on Wild sides.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Minnesota Wild] — superior form and matchup edges provide the best probability of success.

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