NBA
Chicago Bulls vs 
New York Knicks
League: NBA | Game Time: 8:00 PM ET • 7:00 PM CT • 6:00 PM MT • 5:00 PM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-22 05:08 PM EST
💰 Best Bet #1 New York Knicks -10.5 at -112 | 55% Confidence | Simulation projects Knicks win margin in 8.2-15.8 range, exceeding line; Bulls poor recent form (avg -13.9 margin) supports cover despite public lean on dog.
💰 Best Bet #2 Over 233.5 at -106 | 53% Confidence | Avg sim total 232 with 52% over prob; Bulls games averaging 233.7 total recently, Knicks defensive splits allow pace-up scoring.
💰 Best Bet #3 New York Knicks Moneyline at -430 | 82% Confidence | 84% sim win prob exceeds implied 81%; heavy sharp/public alignment on road fave vs struggling Bulls.
Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Chicago Bulls | 16% |
| Win % for New York Knicks | 84% |
| Spread Cover % for Chicago Bulls (+10.5) | 46% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 52% / Under: 48% |
| Average Total Points | 232.0 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [8.2, 15.8] |
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🏈 Matchup: Chicago Bulls vs New York Knicks on 2026-02-23
💸 Public Bets
Bulls 55% / Knicks 45% (spread)
💰 Money Distribution
Bulls 60% / Knicks 40% (spread)
💹 Market Alignment
Divergent
📉 Line Movement
Stable across books at -10/-10.5 for Knicks
💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+3.2% on Knicks spread; sim cover prob (54%) tops implied odds, RLM absent but public fade justified by Bulls’ -13.9 recent margin and 1-9 form.
Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure
⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public heavily favors Knicks ML (90% bets/95% money) with alignment signaling consensus value, while spread shows divergence (public/money on Bulls +) creating fade opportunity confirmed by sim metrics and Bulls’ defensive woes (123.8 PPG allowed). Sharp money resistance on dog absent in high-volume fave scenario. Game projects moderate scoring near line, favoring slight over on pace and Bulls’ high totals allowed.
🔮 Recommended Play
Fade the public on Bulls spread — Knicks -10.5 holds strongest EV with sim-backed dominance.
Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.
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