Chicago State vs Le Moyne

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-17 02:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-17 12:08 PM EST

Chicago State vs Le Moyne on 2026-01-17

💰 Best Bet #1 [Chicago State / Spread / -2.5 at -110 / 55% / Chicago State’s recent form and home advantage provide a slight edge, with simulation showing solid cover probability against Le Moyne’s inconsistent defense.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 140.5 at -110 / 52% / Both teams exhibit moderate offensive efficiencies in current season matchups, with averages suggesting a push toward higher scoring despite defensive efforts.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Chicago State / Moneyline / -135 / 58% / Higher win probability from adjusted efficiency metrics and home-field factors outweigh Le Moyne’s road challenges.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Chicago State | 58.2% |
| Win % for Le Moyne | 41.8% |
| Spread Cover % for Chicago State | 54.3% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 52.1% / Under: 47.9% |
| Average Total Points | 140.5 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-12.3, 15.1] |

Game Times
ET: 02:00 PM
CT: 01:00 PM
MT: 12:00 PM
PT: 11:00 AM
AKT: 10:00 AM
HST: 08:00 AM

💸 Public Bets
[60% / 40%]

💰 Money Distribution
[55% / 45%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
[Stable at -2.5 for Chicago State, with minimal shifts indicating consensus on the favorite.]

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+2% on Chicago State spread; simulation and efficiency ratings confirm value against public lean without sharp divergence.]

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment leans toward Chicago State, aligning with money distribution and simulation outcomes, making a follow strategy optimal rather than fading. Le Moyne’s road splits show vulnerability, supporting the home edge without contrarian signals. Overall game scoring outlook points to a moderate total, with offensive rebounding and tempo favoring a slight over tendency based on current season averages.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Chicago State] — mathematical probability favors the home team in this matchup.

Highlights unavailable.