Cleveland State vs Youngstown State

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-17 02:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-17 12:10 PM EST

Cleveland State vs Youngstown State on 2026-01-17

💰 Best Bet #1 [Cleveland State / Spread / -8.5 at -110 / 58% / Cleveland State shows strong home form and defensive efficiency, covering in 6 of last 10, with simulation indicating a solid edge despite recent opponent trends.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 149.5 at -110 / 55% / Both teams average high pace and points allowed exceed 75 per game recently, supporting a slight lean over based on offensive rebounding and tempo metrics.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Cleveland State / Moneyline / -400 / 72% / Dominant win probability from simulation aligns with home advantage and superior adjusted efficiency ratings.]

Game Times

ET: 2:00 PM
CT: 1:00 PM
MT: 12:00 PM
PT: 11:00 AM
AKT: 10:00 AM
HST: 8:00 AM

💸 Public Bets

[Cleveland State 75% / Youngstown State 25%]

💰 Money Distribution

[Cleveland State 65% / Youngstown State 35%]

💹 Market Alignment

[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement

[Line opened at -8 and held steady at -8.5, with minimal movement despite public lean toward home team.]

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)

[+3.2% on Cleveland State spread; simulation win probability exceeds implied odds, supported by recent form and no major injuries impacting key players.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Cleveland State | 72.0% |
| Win % for Youngstown State | 28.0% |
| Spread Cover % for Cleveland State | 55.0% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 52% / Under: 48% |
| Average Total Points | 151.2 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-12.0, 20.0] |

Top 3 Player Props

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment heavily favors Cleveland State, aligning with sharp money indicators and simulation outcomes, making a follow strategy optimal rather than fading. No significant reverse line movement suggests consensus value on the home side. Overall game scoring outlook points to a moderate total, with both offenses capable but defenses holding firm in recent matchups.

🔮 Recommended Play

[Follow the public with Cleveland State] — simulation and market data confirm the highest probability of success.

Highlights unavailable.