Coastal Carolina vs Georgia Southern

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-01 01:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-01 10:53 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [Georgia Southern / +2.5 / -110 / 60% / Georgia Southern’s strong recent form (7-game win streak) and defensive efficiency give them an edge to cover as underdogs against a Coastal Carolina team struggling at home.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Under / Total / 142.5 at -110 / 52% / Both teams rank in the bottom half for pace and scoring, with recent games trending under due to solid defensive rebounding and low turnover rates.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Georgia Southern / Moneyline / +110 / 55% / Simulation favors Georgia Southern’s win probability, supported by their undefeated Sun Belt start and superior adjusted efficiency metrics.]

Coastal Carolina vs Georgia Southern on 2026-01-01

Game Times

ET: 1:00 PM
CT: 12:00 PM
MT: 11:00 AM
PT: 10:00 AM
AKT: 9:00 AM
HST: 7:00 AM

💸 Public Bets

[Coastal Carolina 62% / Georgia Southern 38%]

💰 Money Distribution

[Coastal Carolina 55% / Georgia Southern 45%]

💹 Market Alignment

[Divergent]

📉 Line Movement

Line opened at Coastal Carolina -3 but has moved to -2.5, indicating some sharp action on the underdog Georgia Southern despite public leaning toward the home favorite.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)

[+3.5% on Georgia Southern side / Positive EV derived from reverse line movement against public percentage and simulation win probability exceeding implied odds.]

Simulation Results

| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Coastal Carolina | 45% |
| Win % for Georgia Southern | 55% |
| Spread Cover % for Coastal Carolina | 40% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Points | 142 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-10, 8] |

Top 3 Player Props

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment heavily favors the home team Coastal Carolina, but sharp money appears to be on Georgia Southern as evidenced by the line movement, creating a contrarian opportunity with positive EV. The matchup projects as moderately low-scoring, with both defenses holding opponents under their season averages in recent games, supporting the under. Overall, fading the public aligns with mathematical edges from form and efficiency metrics.

🔮 Recommended Play

[Fade the public on Georgia Southern] — Georgia Southern holds the best probability of covering and winning based on current season data and simulation outcomes.

Highlights unavailable.