Coastal Carolina vs Georgia State

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-03 01:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-03 11:52 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [Coastal Carolina / Spread / -4.5 at -110 / 58% / Coastal Carolina’s strong home efficiency and Georgia State’s road struggles create a clear edge, with recent form supporting a comfortable cover despite moderate public support.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 142.5 at -110 / 54% / Both teams’ adjusted offensive ratings suggest a pace-driven game, with defensive rebounding weaknesses likely pushing the total higher based on current season averages.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Coastal Carolina / Moneyline / -250 / 68% / Home advantage and superior win probability from metrics outweigh the juice, aligning with sharp consensus for the favorite.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Coastal Carolina | 68.0% |
| Win % for Georgia State | 32.0% |
| Spread Cover % for Coastal Carolina | 55.0% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 52.0% / Under: 48.0% |
| Average Total Points | 142.0 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-12.0, 22.0] |

Coastal Carolina vs Georgia State on 2026-01-03

Game Times

ET: 1:00 PM
CT: 12:00 PM
MT: 11:00 AM
PT: 10:00 AM
AKT: 9:00 AM
HST: 8:00 AM

💸 Public Bets
[62% / 38%]

💰 Money Distribution
[68% / 32%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
[Line opened at -4 and held steady at -4.5 with balanced action, no significant sharp movement noted as of latest updates.]

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3.2% on Coastal Carolina spread; simulation and efficiency metrics confirm value despite public lean, with no RLM to fade.]

Top 3 Player Props

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment on Coastal Carolina aligns closely with money distribution and simulation outcomes, indicating a consensus play rather than a fade opportunity. Georgia State’s turnover rate and road inefficiency further support the home favorite without overhyping the matchup. Overall scoring outlook points to a moderate-paced game with potential for the over, driven by both teams’ recent offensive rebounding trends.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Coastal Carolina] — the alignment of metrics and market data provides the strongest probability for success.

Highlights unavailable.