Colgate vs Bucknell

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-17 02:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-17 12:11 PM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [Colgate / Spread / -9.5 at -110 / 60% / Colgate’s strong home form and Bucknell’s road struggles support covering the spread, with simulation showing 55% cover rate aligned with recent trends.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Under / Total / 135.5 at -110 / 58% / Both teams’ defensive efficiencies and low-possession games in the Patriot League suggest a lower-scoring affair, backed by under hitting in 6 of Colgate’s last 8 home contests.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Colgate / Moneyline / -420 / 75% / Dominant win probability from metrics like adjusted efficiency ratings gives Colgate a clear edge as the favorite.]

Colgate vs Bucknell on 2026-01-17

Game Times

ET: 2:00 PM
CT: 1:00 PM
MT: 12:00 PM
PT: 11:00 AM
AKT: 10:00 AM
HST: 8:00 AM

💸 Public Bets

[72% / 28%]

💰 Money Distribution

[78% / 22%]

💹 Market Alignment

[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement

Line opened at -8.5 and moved to -9.5 with heavy action on Colgate, indicating sharp support for the favorite despite public backing.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)

[+3.2% on Colgate spread / Simulation and efficiency metrics show value against implied probability, with no major injuries shifting the dynamic.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Colgate | 75% |
| Win % for Bucknell | 25% |
| Spread Cover % for Colgate | 55% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 45% / Under: 55% |
| Average Total Points | 135 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [5, 25] |

Top 3 Player Props

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment heavily favors Colgate, aligning with sharp money and line movement, making following the public the optimal play based on convergent metrics. Both teams exhibit solid defensive rebounding and turnover control, pointing to a controlled, lower-scoring game under the total. No significant injuries alter the outlook, reinforcing Colgate’s home advantage in the Patriot League.

🔮 Recommended Play

[Follow the public with Colgate / No clear edge]

Highlights unavailable.