NCAAB

Colorado vs Kansas State

League: NCAAB | Game Time: 9:00 PM ET • 8:00 PM CT • 7:00 PM MT • 6:00 PM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-25 09:31 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Colorado Buffaloes / -6.5 / -110 / 58% / Colorado’s dominant recent home margins (+17 avg) vs KSU’s tighter road wins support cover amid aligned public/sharp money

💰 Best Bet #2 Over / Total / 162.5 at -110 / 72% / Recent games avg 175+ total points for both teams with fast paces overpower public under lean

💰 Best Bet #3 Colorado Buffaloes / Moneyline / -310 / 71% / Strong home form and simulation win probability exceed implied odds despite heavy public backing

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Colorado Buffaloes | 71.0% |
| Win % for Kansas St Wildcats | 28.0% |
| Spread Cover % for Colorado Buffaloes | 56.0% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 72.0% / Under: 28.0% |
| Average Total Points | 179.0 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-11.2, 26.4] |

🏀 Matchup: Colorado Buffaloes vs Kansas St Wildcats
💸 Public Bets
[51% / 49%]
💰 Money Distribution
[56% / 44%]
💹 Market Alignment
Aligned
📉 Line Movement
Stable around -6.5 to -7 per provided data
💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+3.2% on Colorado -6.5; recent form and sim probs exceed implied 52.4% breakeven

Top 3 Player Props
Player Prop #1: J. Sanders / Over 14.5 Points / -115 / 74% / Key home scorer in high-output games (Colorado avg 95 pts scored recently), favorable vs KSU def allowing 85+
Player Prop #2: I. Johnson / Over 8.5 Rebounds / -110 / 70% / Strong rebounding in recent wins amid high-pace matchup boosting opportunities
Player Prop #3: J. Holland / Over 4.5 Assists / -112 / 68% / Playmaking role evident in team’s efficient offense vs KSU’s turnover-prone recent foes

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment heavily favors Colorado on spread and ML (81% bets), aligned with money percentages indicating consensus without sharp resistance. Follow public here as sim and recent form (Colorado +17 home margins, KSU close wins) confirm value; no RLM evident. Game projects high-scoring (avg 179 pts) due to offensive efficiencies and paces overpowering defensive averages.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Colorado Buffaloes — sim-backed probability dominates.

Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.

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