Dayton vs North Florida

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-12-13 07:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-13 11:27 AM EST

Dayton vs North Florida on 2025-12-13

Game Times
ET: 7:00 PM
CT: 6:00 PM
MT: 5:00 PM
PT: 4:00 PM
AKT: 3:00 PM
HST: 1:00 PM

💰 Best Bet #1 [Dayton / Spread / -14.5 at -110 / 68% / Dayton’s strong home efficiency and North Florida’s defensive struggles in early season games support covering the spread, with recent form showing Dayton dominating lesser opponents.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 152.5 at -110 / 52% / Both teams exhibit moderate tempos, and Dayton’s offensive rebounding combined with North Florida’s turnover issues point to a slightly elevated scoring output above the line.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Dayton / Moneyline / -1200 / 82% / Dayton’s superior adjusted efficiency ratings and home-court advantage make them overwhelming favorites against an outmatched North Florida squad.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Dayton | 82.0% |
| Win % for North Florida | 18.0% |
| Spread Cover % for Dayton | 68.0% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 52.0% / Under: 48.0% |
| Average Total Points | 152.0 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [10.0, 30.0] |

💸 Public Bets
[75% Dayton / 25% North Florida]

💰 Money Distribution
[85% Dayton / 15% North Florida]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
[Line opened at -13.5 and moved to -14.5 with heavy action on Dayton, indicating sharp support for the favorite despite public backing.]

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+4.2% on Dayton spread; simulation probabilities exceed implied odds, bolstered by Dayton’s recent wins and North Florida’s early-season road woes.]

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment heavily favors Dayton, aligning with sharp money and line movement, making a follow on the favorite the optimal approach based on converging metrics. Dayton’s offensive efficiency outpaces North Florida’s defense, while injuries appear minimal for key players. The game outlook leans toward moderate scoring, with Dayton’s pace pushing the total slightly over but not excessively high.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Dayton] — mathematical probabilities strongly favor the home team in this mismatch.

Highlights unavailable.