Delaware State vs Delaware

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-12-06 02:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-06 10:38 AM EST

🏀 Delaware State vs Delaware on 2025-12-06

Game Times

ET: 02:00 PM
CT: 01:00 PM
MT: 12:00 PM
PT: 11:00 AM
AKT: 10:00 AM
HST: 08:00 AM

💰 Best Bet #1 [Delaware / Spread / -10.5 at -110 / 60% / Delaware’s superior efficiency ratings and home advantage against a weaker MEAC opponent create a clear edge, supported by recent form showing strong defensive rebounding.]
💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 142.5 at -110 / 55% / Both teams exhibit moderate tempo and allow high opponent FG%, with Delaware’s offense averaging 75+ points recently, pushing toward a higher-scoring affair despite defensive efforts.]
💰 Best Bet #3 [Delaware / Moneyline / -600 / 75% / Dominant win probability driven by talent disparity and historical performance in non-conference matchups.]

💸 Public Bets

[Delaware 70% / Delaware State 30%]

💰 Money Distribution

[Delaware 85% / Delaware State 15%]

💹 Market Alignment

[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement

Line opened at Delaware -9.5 and moved to -10.5 with balanced action, indicating steady support for the favorite without sharp resistance.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)

[+3% on Delaware spread / Consensus from efficiency metrics and simulation aligns with market pricing, offering value despite public lean.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Delaware State | 25% |
| Win % for Delaware | 75% |
| Spread Cover % for Delaware | 60% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 55% / Under: 45% |
| Average Total Points | 142 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-5, 25] |

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment heavily favors Delaware, aligning with sharp money distribution and mathematical projections from adjusted efficiency and recent trends. Following the public is optimal here, as no reverse line movement or contrarian signals emerge to suggest fading. The game outlook points to moderate scoring, with Delaware’s defense potentially capping explosive plays but allowing enough transition opportunities for the over to hold edge.

🔮 Recommended Play

[Follow the public with Delaware / No clear edge] — Delaware’s projected dominance provides the strongest probability across metrics.

Highlights unavailable.