Delaware State vs Navy

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-12-03 07:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-03 10:22 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Navy / Spread / -11.5 at -110 / 65% / Navy’s superior 4-5 record vs DSU’s 2-7, better efficiency, and road favorite status align with sharp models showing strong cover probability.

💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 134.5 at -110 / 58% / Both teams low-scoring profiles (DSU struggling offensively, Navy solid defense), recent trends favor unders in similar matchups.

💰 Best Bet #3 Navy / Moneyline / -680 / 72% / Clear talent and form edge for Midshipmen, sim win probability exceeds implied odds.

Delaware State vs Navy on 2025-12-03

Game Times
ET: 7:00 PM
CT: 6:00 PM
MT: 5:00 PM
PT: 4:00 PM
AKT: 3:00 PM
HST: 1:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
Delaware State 22% / Navy 78%

💰 Money Distribution
Delaware State 18% / Navy 82%

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Opened Navy -10.5, moved to -11.5/-12 amid heavy Navy action per BetMGM and picks sites, indicating sharp support.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+4.2% on Navy spread / RLM and public fade potential, but sim and records confirm value aligning with money.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Delaware State | 26% |
| Win % for Navy | 74% |
| Spread Cover % for Delaware State | 38% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 47% / Under: 53% |
| Average Total Points | 133.2 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-22.1, 6.8] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public heavily on Navy aligns with money distribution and line movement toward the favorite, supporting a follow rather than fade. Navy’s better record and defensive metrics project a comfortable win, while combined poor offenses tilt toward a lower total. Overall outlook favors controlled, Navy-dominated scoring under the total.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Navy — sim probabilities and market consensus point to high win/cover likelihood.

Highlights unavailable.