Delaware vs Iona

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-12-01 07:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-01 11:19 AM EST

🏀 Delaware vs Iona on 2025-12-01

💰 Best Bet #1 Delaware / +1.5 / -110 / 54% / Simulation indicates 54% cover probability for home underdog with tight line; recent trends and matchup tempo support close contest despite Iona’s edge.

💰 Best Bet #2 Under / 155.5 / -110 / 52% / Average simulated total at 153.4 points aligns with under; both teams show defensive efficiencies and lower scoring in recent outings per current season data.

💰 Best Bet #3 Iona / Moneyline / -130 / 53% / Slight visitor edge in win probability from Monte Carlo runs, backed by battle-tested roster and tempo advantage.

Game Times
ET: 7:00 PM
CT: 6:00 PM
MT: 5:00 PM
PT: 4:00 PM
AKT: 3:00 PM
HST: 1:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
Delaware 45% / Iona 55%

💰 Money Distribution
Delaware 40% / Iona 60%

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Opened Iona -1.5, moved to -2 briefly before settling at -1.5; slight shift toward Iona despite balanced public action per OddsShark and recent X sentiment.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+3.2% on Delaware +1.5 / Positive EV from sim convergence and under projection; sharp money leaning Iona but value on dog cover.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Delaware | 47% |
| Win % for Iona | 53% |
| Spread Cover % for Delaware (+1.5) | 54% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over 155.5: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Points | 153.4 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-11.2, +10.8] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public and money percentages align on Iona, matching sharp indicators from line movement and X posts favoring the Gaels at -1.5 to -2. Mathematical models confirm slight Iona edge but value in Delaware cover and under given average total below line and defensive trends in current 2025 season games. Overall outlook leans low-scoring with pace control favoring under.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Iona — simulation and market consensus point to highest win probability despite close margins.

Highlights unavailable.