NCAAB

Denver vs South Dakota Coyotes

League: NCAAB | Game Time: 9:00 PM ET • 8:00 PM CT • 7:00 PM MT • 6:00 PM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-19 10:12 PM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Denver Pioneers -6.5 at -115 58% Confidence Public bets near even but money 56% on Denver signals sharp support aligning with home-field advantage and favoritism.
💰 Best Bet #2 Under 153.5 at -110 55% Confidence Money 55% on under with bets slightly favoring under reflects defensive efficiencies in recent low-volume games.
💰 Best Bet #3 Denver Pioneers Moneyline at -345 78% Confidence Strong public (75%) and money (80%) consensus on heavy favorite with implied edge from line stability.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Denver Pioneers | 78% |
| Win % for South Dakota Coyotes | 22% |
| Spread Cover % for Denver Pioneers | 56% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Points | 153.8 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-14.2, 27.1] |

🏀 Matchup: Denver Pioneers vs South Dakota Coyotes on 2026-02-20

💸 Public Bets
[Denver 51% / South Dakota 49%]

💰 Money Distribution
[Denver 56% / South Dakota 44%]

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Stable—no significant shifts observed across sources.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+2.8% on Denver -6.5; model cover probability exceeds implied odds with public/money convergence and home dominance.

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public betting percentages closely align with money distribution favoring Denver, indicating market consensus without sharp resistance or reverse line movement. Defensive metrics and total splits suggest a controlled, lower-scoring affair leaning under the line. Following the home favorite optimizes EV given the balanced indicators and simulation outcomes.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Denver — highest probability supported by data convergence.

Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.

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