Fairleigh Dickinson vs Chicago State

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-08 05:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-08 11:00 AM EST

Fairleigh Dickinson vs Chicago State on 2026-01-08

💰 Best Bet #1 Fairleigh Dickinson / Spread / -2.5 at -110 / 55% / Fairleigh Dickinson’s stronger recent form and home advantage give them an edge to cover the small spread, supported by simulation cover probability and current season metrics showing better efficiency.

💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 140.5 at -110 / 52% / Both teams exhibit low-scoring tendencies in recent games, with defensive rebounding and turnover rates favoring a total below the line based on pace and opponent defensive strengths.

💰 Best Bet #3 Fairleigh Dickinson / Moneyline / -160 / 65% / Higher win probability from simulation aligns with home-court factors and Chicago State’s poor road record this season.

Game Times

ET: 5:00 PM
CT: 4:00 PM
MT: 3:00 PM
PT: 2:00 PM
AKT: 1:00 PM
HST: 11:00 AM

💸 Public Bets

Fairleigh Dickinson 62% / Chicago State 38%

💰 Money Distribution

Fairleigh Dickinson 58% / Chicago State 42%

💹 Market Alignment

Aligned

📉 Line Movement

Line opened at -3 for Fairleigh Dickinson and steadied at -2.5 with minimal movement, reflecting balanced action despite slight public lean toward the favorite.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)

+3.2% on Fairleigh Dickinson spread; simulation probabilities exceed implied odds, bolstered by home efficiency ratings and Chicago State’s turnover issues in current season data.

Top 3 Player Props

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

Simulation Results

| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Fairleigh Dickinson | 65% |
| Win % for Chicago State | 35% |
| Spread Cover % for Fairleigh Dickinson | 55% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Points | 140 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-5, 10] |

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment leans toward Fairleigh Dickinson, aligning with sharp money indicators and simulation outcomes, making a follow strategy optimal without need for fading. Contextual factors like home advantage and Chicago State’s struggles on the road support this consensus. Overall game scoring projects as moderate, with defensive metrics from both sides pointing to a controlled pace under the total.

🔮 Recommended Play

Follow the public with Fairleigh Dickinson — simulation and market data confirm the highest probability of success on the favorite.

Highlights unavailable.