NCAAB
Fairleigh Dickinson vs 
New Haven Chargers
League: NCAAB | Game Time: 7:00 PM ET • 6:00 PM CT • 5:00 PM MT • 4:00 PM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-21 11:20 AM EST
💰 Best Bet #1 Fairleigh Dickinson Knights / -2.5 / -2.5 at -110 / 55% / Home D1 team holds edge over D2 visitor with public bets near even but metrics favor cover via home-court advantage
💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 123.5 at -110 / 58% / Low total line aligns with money leaning under (56%), suggesting defensive matchup and limited scoring
💰 Best Bet #3 Fairleigh Dickinson Knights / Moneyline / -145 / 60% / Implied prob undervalues home win likelihood given conference disparity and ML public support (61%)
Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 59% |
| Win % for New Haven Chargers | 40% |
| Spread Cover % for Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 53% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 49% / Under: 51% |
| Average Total Points | 123.5 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-17, 22] |
🏈 Matchup: Fairleigh Dickinson Knights vs New Haven Chargers
💸 Public Bets
[49% / 51%]
💰 Money Distribution
[44% / 56%]
💹 Market Alignment
Divergent
📉 Line Movement
No significant movement noted; stable across books
💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+2.5% on FDU -2.5; low-volume game with slight home edge over D2 foe, public split supports value]
Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure
⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public betting near even on spread while money tilts to away side, creating divergence that favors fading the handle on New Haven +2.5 in a low-volume market. Sharp alignment leans home with ML money (66%) backing FDU despite even spread bets. Game projects low-scoring at 123.5 total based on line and under money, fitting defensive profiles in cross-division matchup.
🔮 Recommended Play
Fade the public on New Haven +2.5 — mathematical edge with home win/cover convergence.
Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.
Highlights unavailable.