NCAAB
Florida Atlantic vs 
Temple
League: NCAAB | Game Time: 7:00 PM ET • 6:00 PM CT • 5:00 PM MT • 4:00 PM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-26 08:29 AM EST
💰 Best Bet #1 Florida Atlantic Owls / -4.5 at -110 / 58% / Recent dominant home wins against weaker foes align with public/sharp money on favorite, line stable supporting cover.
💰 Best Bet #2 Under / 146.5 at -110 / 55% / Public leaning under with money 60% on low side, recent Temple road games show defensive improvements capping totals.
💰 Best Bet #3 Florida Atlantic Owls / Moneyline at -225 / 65% / 71% public bets and 76% money consensus on home team with superior recent scoring margin.
Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Florida Atlantic Owls | 62% |
| Win % for Temple Owls | 38% |
| Spread Cover % for Florida Atlantic Owls | 52% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 65% / Under: 35% |
| Average Total Points | 157 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-28, 38] |
Top 3 Player Props
Player Prop #1: Nick Boyd (Florida Atlantic) / Over 15.5 Points / -110 / 72% / Averages 18 PPG recently, Temple allows high guard usage in losses.
Player Prop #2: Vladislav Goldin (Florida Atlantic) / Over 7.5 Rebounds / -115 / 68% / Dominant boards in home wins, Temple weak on defensive rebounding rate.
Player Prop #3: Tamin Lipsey (Temple) / Under 12.5 Points / -110 / 70% / Struggles vs strong home defenses, recent road unders at 65% hit rate.
🏀 Matchup: Florida Atlantic Owls vs Temple Owls on February 27
💸 Public Bets
[51% / 49%]
💰 Money Distribution
[56% / 44%]
💹 Market Alignment
Aligned
📉 Line Movement
Stable at -4.5 / 146.5 across books, no significant RLM despite moderate public action.
💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+3.2% on FAU -4.5; implied prob 52% vs model 58%, positive from form convergence.
⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment (51-71% on FAU) aligns closely with sharp money (56-76%), indicating consensus value on the home favorite without heavy distortion. Follow optimal here as recent FAU home dominance (avg +25 margin in wins) and Temple road struggles outweigh any fade logic. Game scoring outlook leans moderate total given FAU defensive allowed 70 PPG recently vs Temple’s inefficient offense.
🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Florida Atlantic — highest probability edge on spread and moneyline.
Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.
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