Florida Gulf Coast vs Oral Roberts

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-11-24 07:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-11-24 08:19 PM EST

Florida Gulf Coast vs Oral Roberts on 2025-11-24

💰 Best Bet #1 [Florida Gulf Coast / Spread / -9.5 at -110 / 62% / FGCU’s strong home efficiency and Oral Roberts’ road struggles create a clear edge, supported by recent form and simulation cover rate.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 159.5 at -110 / 55% / Both teams show moderate offensive rebounding and turnover rates, with average tempo pushing toward a higher-scoring affair despite defensive metrics.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Florida Gulf Coast / Moneyline / -500 / 78% / Dominant win probability from adjusted efficiency ratings and home advantage outweighs the juice on the favorite.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Florida Gulf Coast | 78% |
| Win % for Oral Roberts | 22% |
| Spread Cover % for Florida Gulf Coast | 62% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 55% / Under: 45% |
| Average Total Points | 162 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-2, 25] |

Game Times
ET: 7:00 PM
CT: 6:00 PM
MT: 5:00 PM
PT: 4:00 PM
AKT: 3:00 PM
HST: 1:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
[70% / 30%]

💰 Money Distribution
[60% / 40%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
[Stable at -9.5, with minimal shift despite public leaning toward home favorite]

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3% on FGCU spread, driven by efficiency convergence and low public-money disparity indicating value without sharp resistance]

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment aligns closely with money distribution on the home favorite, suggesting market consensus without notable sharp action against it, making following the public optimal here. Oral Roberts’ lower adjusted defensive efficiency and FGCU’s home splits support the spread edge, while overall pace and rebounding trends point to a game exceeding the total line. No significant injuries alter the outlook, keeping the focus on form-based probabilities.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Florida Gulf Coast] — mathematical win probability and EV align with the favored side.

Highlights unavailable.