NCAAB

Fordham vs Davidson

League: NCAAB | Game Time: 2:00 PM ET • 1:00 PM CT • 12:00 PM MT • 11:00 AM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-21 08:41 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Fordham Rams / -1.5 / -110 / 55% / Home-court edge in A-10 matchup, public/sharp alignment with 58% bets and 63% money on Fordham.

💰 Best Bet #2 Under / 132.5 / -110 / 58% / Defensive-oriented teams project low pace and efficiency, recent A-10 trends favor unders in similar totals.

💰 Best Bet #3 Fordham Rams / Moneyline / -125 / 54% / Slight model win probability edge over implied odds, supported by home advantage.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Fordham Rams | 54% |
| Win % for Davidson Wildcats | 46% |
| Spread Cover % for Fordham Rams | 52% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Points | 131.5 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-15, 18] |

Fordham Rams vs Davidson Wildcats

💸 Public Bets
Fordham 58% / Davidson 42%

💰 Money Distribution
Fordham 63% / Davidson 37%

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Stable at Fordham -1.5 across sources

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+2% on Fordham -1.5 (sim 52% cover vs. implied ~52%, convergence with aligned action)

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public bets and money percentages align on Fordham, indicating market consensus without sharp resistance or RLM; following public is optimal here with positive EV confirmation from simulation. Defensive metrics project a low-scoring affair under the total, consistent with 50/50 public split but model under edge. No key injuries reported, preserving matchup projections.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Fordham — model-backed probability aligns with sentiment for highest EV.

Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.

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