Fordham vs George Mason

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-07 07:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-07 11:41 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [Fordham / Spread / +6.5 at -110 / 55% / Fordham shows value as the underdog with a 52% cover rate in simulations, supported by home-court advantage at Rose Hill Gymnasium and George Mason’s recent road struggles in the current season.]
💰 Best Bet #2 [Under / Total / 140.5 at -110 / 54% / Both teams exhibit defensive efficiencies above league average in recent games, with Fordham allowing 72.3 points per game and George Mason holding opponents under 65 in three of their last five, pointing to a controlled, lower-scoring affair.]
💰 Best Bet #3 [George Mason / Moneyline / -278 / 75% / George Mason’s superior adjusted offensive rating (108.2) and win probability of 74% in simulations make them the clear favorite, bolstered by a healthier roster and strong form against similar A-10 opponents.]

Fordham Rams vs George Mason Patriots on January 7, 2026

Game Times

ET: 7:00 PM
CT: 6:00 PM
MT: 5:00 PM
PT: 4:00 PM
AKT: 3:00 PM
HST: 1:00 PM

💸 Public Bets

[Fordham 35% / George Mason 65%]

💰 Money Distribution

[Fordham 45% / George Mason 55%]

💹 Market Alignment

[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement

The spread opened at George Mason -5.5 and moved to -6.5 with balanced action, indicating steady sharp interest on the favorite without significant reverse movement.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)

[+3.2% on Fordham +6.5 / Simulations reveal a slight edge on the underdog spread due to home advantage and defensive metrics, while the total under offers +2.8% EV based on pace-adjusted scoring trends from the current season.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Fordham | 25% |
| Win % for George Mason | 74% |
| Spread Cover % for Fordham (+6.5) | 52% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Points | 140.5 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-15.2, 5.8] |

Top 3 Player Props

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment leans toward George Mason as the favorite, aligning with sharp money distribution and current season metrics like their top-100 adjusted efficiency rating. Following the public on the moneyline proves optimal given the 74% win probability, though fading slightly on the spread offers value for Fordham at home. The game outlook favors a moderate-scoring contest under 140.5, as both defenses rank well in opponent effective field goal percentage and turnover forcing in recent A-10 play.

🔮 Recommended Play

[Follow the public with George Mason] — the highest mathematical probability aligns with their superior form and simulation outcomes for a straightforward win.

Highlights unavailable.